“If this were just our candidates versus their candidates, I would sign an affidavit that we would pick up 35 seats” so says Congressman Steve Israel the Democrat in charge of getting the House back.
This false bravado sums up a big part of the Democrats’ problem: not being able to acknowledge there is a problem.
A hand wringing New York Times analysis lays out the grim situation for its Party, “The overall dynamic favors Republicans, who look poised to maintain their hold on the House. More Democrats than Republicans have retired in districts where they were endangered, and more Republicans benefited from the decennial redistricting, leaving the Democrats with too small a cushion of Teflon incumbents as they try to regain a majority in the House. Of the 80 races viewed as most competitive by The New York Times, based on polls and interviews with independent analysts, 32 are leaning Republican, 23 are leaning Democratic and 25 are tossups.”
The reality is that these numbers indicate the GOP is poised to win over 50 of these race and maybe more. Because of the cumulative effect of both elections this would be worse than 2010 for the Democrats who could see their numbers fall to the fewest since 1931.
Why this will happen
With less than four months to go compared to 2008 conservative Republican enthusiasm is 16 points higher and liberal Democrat enthusiasm is 22 points lower. Democrats from local candidates to Barack Obama have no coherent plausible message.
Together they have made America sick so what can they say?
They can’t even keep their “We hate” list straight.
They’ve tried to get their base to hate Bain Capital, but couldn’t make their charges stick because they are lies.. hate the TEA party…..
(Excerpt) Read more at coachisright.com ...
