Sunday, September 25, 2016

Trump will emerge victorious in November: Professor of history

Press TV ^ | September 24, 2016 

US Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump will win the race for the White House, says an American professor, who has correctly predicted all the last eight presidents of the United States.

Allan Lichtman, a distinguished professor of history at American University, told The Washington Post that based on a system he calls "Keys to the White House", Trump will emerge victorious in the November election.
“Based on the 13 keys, it would predict a Donald Trump victory,” he claimed.
The professor said he derived the system of true/false statements, "by looking at every American presidential election from 1860 to 1980, and have since used the system to correctly predict the outcomes of all eight American presidential elections from 1984 to 2012.”
He said one of the keys he uses to predict the winner of the White House is that the candidate is charismatic or not.
Lichtman said Trump’s rival Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton “doesn't fit the bill.”
Another factor he mentioned against Clinton is that she is going to run after President Barack Obama—a Democrat-- who had no major domestic or foreign policy achievements.
He also explained to the newspaper that his prediction is not based upon the polls, adding that “the polls have very recently tightened.”
“Clinton is less ahead than she was before, but it's not because Trump is rising, it's because Clinton is falling,” he added.
According to the professor, the upcoming election was the most difficult to assess, because “We have never before seen a candidate like Donald Trump, and Donald Trump may well break patterns of history that have held since 1860.”
With less than two months remaining to the election, Clinton holds a solid 6-point lead over Trump, according to the McClatchy-Marist poll released Friday.

Looking at the polls: What we can draw from where Trump is positioned?

The Coach's Team ^ | 9/25/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins 

New Quinnipiac polls offer encouraging data for Donald Trump and a sagging future for Hillary Clinton.

The Q-poll shows Clinton leading in Colorado 44/42, and in Virginia 45/39. It shows Trump leading 47/40 in Georgia and 44/37 in Iowa.
In Colorado, where Obama won by 5 points in 2012, Clinton’s 8 point lead on August 17 has dissipated to 2 points which is within the 3.9% MOE. Moreover, Colorado is 87% White which is just at the beginning of certain trouble for Clinton since she is polling so poorly with Whites that Reuters has ALREADY all but called Vermont for Trump based on the state’s 96% White population. Reuters considers the percentage of White support Clinton has to be so significantly low that it casts aside a 21 point lead for her found in an Emerson College poll done earlier this month.
It is worth noting that Reuters avoided mentioning how anemic Clinton’s numbers are with Whites; but a good guess would be she has around 32% support which would represent a record low. Logically, if she even had the 39% or something close to it that Barack Obama had in 2012, Reuters would not have set the chances of Republican Trump winning in very Democrat Vermont at 95%. In his crushing defeat in 1984, even Walter Mondale got 34% of the White vote.
In Virginia, the Q-poll has Clinton leading by 6 points where Obama won in 2012 by 4 points. Giving Clinton a generous 35% support level from Whites if they are the same 70% of the electorate she gets 24.5% of the vote. It is no longer a disputed fact that 20% of Blacks are supporting Trump, and Clinton is getting just 75% of the Black vote. That gives her another 15 points...
(Excerpt) Read more at ...

IRS to Warn Uninsured

Semi-News/Semi-Satire ^ | 25 Sep 2016 | John Semmens 

Irked by the decision of 20 million Americans who have declined to sign up for Obamacare, the IRS is crafting a letter to advise them of the "antisocial implications" of non-participation.

Commissioner John Koskinen explained that "failure to enroll evinces a lack of cooperation with a policy that the government has determined is necessary. Non-compliers may feel that enrollment is optional. It is not. That's why there is a fine. Paying the fine doesn't get them off the hook."
Koskinen pointed out that "not only does the amount of the fine ratchet up each year, our Agency has other tools at its disposal to try to encourage obedience. We can conduct audits, freeze bank accounts, and seize assets as a means of compelling the recalcitrant to yield to the government's wishes. We regard advising people of their peril by letter to be a most considerate measure to help them avoid unwanted complications from continued noncompliance."

In related news, Koskinen told the House Judiciary Committee that he doesn't deserve to be impeached for lying to Congress because "I was not fully informed that Agency subordinates had illegally destroyed documents under House subpoena. I, like so many others, at the highest levels of government, have been betrayed by feckless or malicious subordinates." Koskinen blamed "civil service regulations that tie the hands of those appointed by the President to carry out his policies. We don't have a free hand to replace disloyal employees with others committed to his cause."
Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah) characterized Koskinen's stance as "ludicrous. First, the IRS engaged in illegal discriminatory treatment against conservative groups. Then they covered up the evidence. Now the Commission wants us to believe that non-political civil service employees are the real problem? It looks like the rot at the IRS seeps down from the uppermost level."
if you missed any of this week's other semi-news/semi-satire posts you can find them at...

Secret Report Released: Clinton Foundation to Become Cabinet Department ^ | September 25, 2016 | Bruce Bialosky 

In a breaking story, Julian Assange released secret emails that disclose if Hillary Clinton becomes president, she plans to propose that the Clinton Foundation become the 16th cabinet department of the U.S. government.
The report details how the Clintons will propose that the work of the Clinton Foundation has become vital to the nation and that the services it provides are not being done by other cabinet departments.
Reaction was swift from the Clinton campaign. Brian Fallon, the press secretary for the campaign, stated “We cannot believe that the Russians tied to the Trump campaign has once again attempted to affect the American presidential election. Isn’t it clear Trump is having a bromance with Putin? We wanted to save this announcement for after the elections. We believe Americans will love this idea.” He went on to attack Trump for not grasping the full benefit of this “lofty idea because of his racist attitudes.”
Mrs. Clinton was asked about the proposal at a campaign event in Saginaw, Michigan. As Peter Yarrow led the crowd in singing If I Had a Hammer, Clinton took a rare question from a reporter. She told the press “We have not totally flushed out the idea yet, but Bill has done so much for so many people. Americans and people all over the world will be thrilled he is back working on their behalf as part of my administration.”
This reporter caught up with former President Clinton for a comment about the plan. He told me “Well sure that makes sense to me. We have saved millions of lives all over the world. And Hillary will have Air Force One, but what will I have to fly around in since we never are together, if you know what I mean.”
When hearing of that comment by former President Clinton, Frank Giustra tweeted out “I don’t know what Bill is talking about. I have always told Bill I would provide him a plane anytime he needs it. He did so much for me on the Uranium One deal and I cannot have him flying around with the common folk.” Giustra was the person who made immense sums on various deals he worked with Bill Clinton for the Clinton Foundation and foreign leaders.
The documents released by Assange also disclosed the plan that Clinton intends to nominate Huma Abedin as Secretary of State. When asked about this Mrs. Clinton refused to answer the question about the planned appointment. She said “We are not talking about potential cabinet appointments at this time. We are just working every day to win this election for the American people. But I cannot think of anyone more qualified than Huma and she was there at my side while I was Secretary of State. She will do a wonderful job wherever she is in my administration.”
Senator Claire McCaskill (D-MO), was asked whether she felt the nomination of Abedin would be realistic. McCaskill told the Daily Beast “Abedin would be an excellent choice as Secretary of State. She was right by Hillary’s side the entire time at State. And anyone who can endure six years of marriage with Anthony Weiner has the strength to represent America to the world.” The Daily Beast reporter wrote “That is really great because I think Huma is amazing.”
McCaskill also stated “I love the idea of the Clinton Foundation being a cabinet department. We could do so much more for the people around the world especially if Bill is the secretary.”
Ben Cardin (D-MD) ranking member of the foreign relations committee weighed in on Instagram showing a picture of him with former President Clinton in Uzbekistan with now deceased President Islam Karimov. Caption said “See the good the Foundation is doing, we got rid of this guy.”
Twitter went crazy once the release of the documents occurred. There was discussion on both sides about the merits of the plan. Republicans taking a position of this being a typical Clinton maneuver and Democrats praising the boldness of the move by a candidate not known for her risky positions.
A leading Republican in Congress who did not want to go on record said “We will have to look at the proposal if Clinton is elected. Until then it makes no sense to make any comments.”