Friday, August 19, 2016

Analysis: Despite the polls, the game isn't over for Trump

INN ^ | 08/18/16 15:21 | David Rosenberg 

The polling as of late is admittedly fairly bleak for the Trump campaign. The latest RealClearPolitics average of polls has Donald Trump down six points, 41.2% to 47.2%. […]
But all is not lost — at least not yet — say experts, who argue the Republican nominee still has time to close the gap on former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. […]
… (T)wo models, the Time for Change model and Primary model show Trump the odds-on favorite to win in November.
The latter model shows Trump winning by a comfortable margin of 5 points, and has an 87% level of confidence. This model has correctly predicted every election since it was first employed in 1996. …
(Excerpt) Read more at israelnationalnews.com ...

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