If recent polls from more than half a dozen reputable polling organizations are to be believed, of the six leading Republican candidates for president Donald Trump is the one least likely to defeat Hillary Clinton in the 2016 general election.
Polling can be and has often been wrong, sometimes spectacularly so, but Trump's electability gap has been a consistent feature of his primary campaign as a fire-breathing self-funding willing-to-say-anything non-politician politician.
However, even if you believe (as I do) the conventional wisdom that Hillary Clinton is "clearly itching to run against Mr. Trump," he nevertheless poses a substantial threat to her presidential aspirations in advance of November's elections.
The Donald has a remarkable ability to break through conventional restrictions on acceptable political conversation and to make people think about issues in ways opponents call "extreme" but which resonate among much of the American public. Beyond his often nativist and economically illiterate base, he is having this effect, whether for good or for ill, on millions of Americans who would not consider voting for Mr. Trump in a general election.
It's not so much that Donald Trump breaks new ground in his pronouncements; rather he amplifies what many are already thinking even if in some cases, such as his persistent denigration of free trade as "America losing" or the suggestion that most Mexican illegal aliens are dangerous criminals, the Trump base and their brash human amplifier are wrong.
(complete article at link)
http://spectator.org/articles/65011/trump-spells-trouble-clinton
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