Saturday, September 19, 2015

Trump actually trounces Bush among Hispanic voters

phillytrib.com ^ | Friday, September 18, 2015 3:30 pm | Charles D. Ellison 

... Trump actually trounces Bush among Hispanic voters 37 percent to 29 percent.
The only candidate who fares better among Latinos is a non-Republican: Hillary Clinton at 60 percent. Still, her Latino support drops four percentage points when she is matched up against Trump in a hypothetical general election.
...
And conventional wisdom conveniently forgets that modern presidential elections cycles have shown, on average, a fairly consistent 30 percent Latino vote for the Republican nominee, a figure that privately worries Democrats....
Whereas 88 percent of Hispanic Democrats in the Univision poll released shortly after Trump’s bizarre anti-Mexican rant found his comments offensive, a noticeable 37 percent of Hispanic Republicans and 27 percent of Hispanic Independents said they didn’t....
When most would expect near unanimous Hispanic disgust with Trump, a late August YouGov poll showed him with 26-percent favorability among Latinos, a more than 10 percentage point increase since YouGov polled respondents several days after his entry into the race...
It’s not in the 30 percent or more range like Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz or Jeb Bush, but it’s still an impressive quarter of an electorate that should be universally hating him.
A later August 5th Gravis Marketing poll also showed him leading among Republican primary contenders with 37.8 percent of the Hispanic vote. Even with a much more cautious Aug. 27th Quinnipiac poll, Trump received a 22 percent Latino favorability rating, and actually gained a few percentage points more when matched up in a hypothetical general election against Joe Biden.
And not only did 27 percent of Latinos surveyed, according to Quinnipiac, find him “trustworthy,” but 48 percent were convinced he displays “strong leadership qualities.”
(Excerpt) Read more at phillytrib.com ...

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