Monday, November 3, 2014

Senate Update: Polls Point Increasingly To Republican Senate Win!

FiveThirtyEight ^ | November 1, 2014 | Nate Silver 

By this point in an election year, when polls are coming in by the bucketload late in the evening, you can get a sense for which pollsters are taking fresh samples of public opinion and which are herding toward the conventional wisdom.
J. Ann Selzer, whose firm Selzer & Company conducts the Des Moines Register’s Iowa Poll, is in the former group: She’s always been one to trust what her data is telling her. On Dec. 31, 2007, Selzer’s poll was among the first to show a large lead for Barack Obama in the Iowa Democratic caucuses — most other polls had a small edge for Hillary Clinton. But Selzer’s poll proved to almost exactly match Obama’s margin in the caucuses four days later.
In September this year, Selzer’s poll showed a 6 percentage-point lead for the Republican Joni Enrst in the Iowa Senate race, defying others that had shown the race as a tossup. Although an early October Selzer poll showed the Democrat Bruce Braley narrowing his deficit to just 1 point, the final Des Moines Register poll, released Saturday night, has Ernst up 51-44 — a 7-point advantage. Other polls of Iowa show Ernst ahead, on average, by a percentage point or two.
Of course, the polling average is usually a more reliable indicator than even the best polls. No poll is clairvoyant — even one that consistently rates as among the most accurate in the country, as Selzer’s does. Polls face inherent limitations because of sampling error, and even the best pollsters face challenges in getting voters to talk to them. If Ernst’s 7-point lead in Selzer’s poll represented the equivalent of a point spread, the FiveThirtyEight model would take Braley’s side of it.
(Excerpt) Read more at ...

The Incurable Disease -- Government Spending!

Radix News ^ | November 3, 2014 | Ben Carson 

I have had a fulfilling career as a pediatric neurosurgeon, which unfortunately included numerous instances where worst-case scenarios played out in the operating room. Good surgeons plan ahead for these possible events so that bad outcomes are minimized. But of course, few treatment plans will succeed if the doctor continually fails to make a proper diagnosis before surgery begins.
When I look at our nation’s massive federal debt, it is clear that Washington has chronically misdiagnosed the situation, which has resulted in a seemingly never-ending cycle of borrowing and spending. Much like a life-threatening disease, if the underlying cause is left unaddressed, patient recovery seldom occurs.
Bold leaders in both parties have warned for years that entitlement spending is the major driver of unsustainable deficits, and they have further advised that Washington implement policies to address this problem. While it is distressing to see continued inaction, what troubles me more is that virtually no one has addressed the underlying cause. In other words, why were programs created in a manner that they would eventually become so financially upside-down that our entire economy would be in jeopardy?
(Excerpt) Read more at ...

Understanding Obama's Ebola Psychosis [and administration activists like Kaci Hickox]

The American Thinker ^ | November 3, 2014 | Matthew Vadum 

".......Obama's neo-Marxist, multiculturalist, identity politics-infused worldview holds that America is an imperialistic, systemically racist, rotten, unjust country that has victimized other nations merely by being wealthy and powerful. America must be punished and deprived of its power to abuse brutal third-world dictators who fatten themselves while keeping their countries in desperate poverty, he believes.
This is why he can't stop apologizing for America. This is also why Obama wants to fundamentally transform –that is, destroy – America as we know it.
Obama romanticizes backward countries like the former colonies in Ebola-rich West Africa and views imposing a travel ban on their citizens as adding insult to the grievous injuries that the big, bad United States has inflicted on them...........
.......Obama's stance on Ebola looks even more untethered from reality in light of recent deaths of medical personnel. Trained professionals intimately acquainted with proper medical protocols still manage to get themselves killed when working near Ebola patients. Hazmat gear is not foolproof. Five co-authors of a new Ebola study came down with the disease and perished before it was published.
The group that Ebola exhibitionist Kaci Hickox volunteers for, Doctors Without Borders, has had 24 of its workers infected with Ebola, and 13 have died from it, Charles C. Johnson reports at
Incidentally, media darling Hickox, a nurse who is publicly whining about the prospect of being quarantined against her will for 21 days after arriving in the U.S. from Africa a few days ago, isn't just a health care worker who treats Ebola patients.
Johnson discovered that Hickox, who has yet to test positive for the virus, is an Obama administration employee, a registered Democrat, and a left-wing activist. She happens to work for the worse than useless Centers for Disease Control (CDC), a federal agency that is strongly resisting travel bans and quarantines...........
(Excerpt) Read more at ...

Race and Reaction!

American Thinker ^ | 11/2/2014 

The Democrats have committed themselves to flushing generations of progress on race down the toilet. That is, flushing the progress whites willingly made toward perceiving and treating all persons as equals. It’s not so clear that any other groups even got the memo that equality and peaceful coexistence were the supposed goals of racial “justice”. Indeed, one now wonders if we got different memos entirely
Growing up in the 60s, 70s and 80s in the Boston area, my upbringing was fairly typical, from what I saw. We were white middle-class kids who were raised to respect others, regardless of skin color...
In that time, with the message of the ‘60s and Martin Luther King, Jr. still fresh, we saw no difference or inferiority in other races and were not taught to see them. All were the same, working hard, trying to do well for themselves and their families and, we thought, pulling toward the same outcomes when it came to creating one big, peaceful melting pot of Americans.
My earliest memory of a realization that this might not be completely true was in the late 80s and early 90s, when I became aware of Democrats publicly claiming that Republicans didn’t like blacks, or children, or the sick, or anyone. I thought this was ridiculous, and that sensible people would dismiss this tactic. Then, in 1995, I watched with shock as black students and others celebrated the verdict in the Simpson case, because a black man literally got away with murdering two whites, and the light came on that all my assumptions and benefits-of-the-doubt might be misplaced. Of course, I knew nothing about Black Liberation Theology, or Black Power, or any of the movements that preached dissimilation, self-segregation, and hatred toward whites, merely because they were white.
(Excerpt) Read more at ...





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