I want to be up front about something. I am not predicting Mitt Romney will win the election one week from today and become the next President of the United States. I am, however, feeling hopeful in that direction. For months, we have been subjected to character assassination, aimed at Mitt Romney. If we were to listen to the advertising coming from the Obama campaign and his supporters, we would believe Romney as Satan himself. That's how bad they have made it sound. He has been accused of everything under the sun as they try to malign him into non relevancy. We were told the debates were coming up and Romney didn't stand a chance of defeating Barack Obama. Until he wiped the floor with the President in Denver. That's when things started to change and the momentum has moved in Romney's direction since that time.
There is good reason to be hopeful that Mitt Romney can defeat Barack Obama on November 6. Remember how the Obama campaign has touted their supremacy in early voting? Well, we need to hold those horses, because that isn't necessarily the case. According to a new Gallup poll, Mitt Romney has an overall lead in those early votes. The pollsters don't like to admit it and buried that fact at the end of their story, but it is true, nonetheless. It is also worth noting what a senior aide to Mitt Romney said on America's Morning News this morning. He said Republicans were not going to be caught off guard by early voting in this election cycle.
(Breibart) Romney currently leads Obama 52% to 45% among voters who say they have already cast their ballots. However, that is comparable to Romney's 51% to 46% lead among all likely voters in Gallup's Oct. 22-28 tracking polling. At the same time, the race is tied at 49% among those who have not yet voted but still intend to vote early, suggesting these voters could cause the race to tighten. However, Romney leads 51% to 45% among the much larger group of voters who plan to vote on Election Day, Nov. 6. When Gallup says early voters don’t seem to be swaying the election, presumably what they means is that because Romney is ahead by five points nationally, an early voting advantage of seven-points isn't going to "sway the election."If this enough good news for you, let's take a look at what really matters. The national popular vote elects the electors to the Electoral College. Those electors are the people who actually vote for the President. In other words, the states elect the President, as it was designed by the men who founded our great nation. One of the worries about Mitt Romney's chances of winning the presidency has to do with the Electoral College. Many people have said he has no path to winning 269 votes in the Electoral College, which is the number he has to win, in order to become our next President. According to the latest state polls, that is no longer the case.
Romney's early voting lead in Gallup may not jive with the CorruptMedia narrative, but it does with actual early vote totals that have been released and show Romney's early vote totals either beating Obama in swing states such as Colorado and Florida or chipping away at the President's advantage in the others. For example, here's what we know about Ohio's early voting numbers, thus far:
But here is what we do know: 220,000 fewer Democrats have voted early in Ohio compared with 2008. And 30,000 more Republicans have cast their ballots compared with four years ago. That is a 250,000-vote net increase for a state Obama won by 260,000 votes in 2008. Something else in this Gallup survey also helps shed some light on what we're seeing in these sometimes counter-intuitive state polls. As the headline states, Gallup is showing that only 15% of the public has already voted. Moreover, they've broken down early voting by region and show that in the Midwest only 13% of voters have already voted. And yet, many polls in places like Ohio show a much higher percentage of early voters, some as high as 30%, which you can bet skews the data. In other words, those polls can't be correct.
Other than the fact that this is Gallup, another reason to embrace this poll is due to its very large sample size of 3,312 registered voters.
(Breibart) According to the latest Rasmussen state polls, Mitt Romney is in position to win the presidency; he should win at least 279 electoral votes. Romney leads in Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, and New Hampshire; Obama leads in Nevada. Wisconsin and Iowa are tied. Were Romney to win both Wisconsin and Iowa, he’d secure another 16 electoral votes, putting him at 295 electoral votes. By way of contrast, George W. Bush won 286 electoral votes in 2004. This is the first time that Rasmussen polls have shown Romney winning enough electoral votes to win the presidency. Rasmussen hasn't moved any of the states above out of toss-up territory, but trends are in Romney’s direction, with just over a week until election day.Because I am so fearful of a second Obama term, I do not want to get my hopes up that Mitt Romney may actually pull off a victory next week. Who knows what will happen during the final week of the campaign? Who knows how Hurricane Sandy and its aftermath will affect the voting on the East Coast and in other states affected by the storm? Anything can happen, especially when we are dealing with someone like Barack Obama. I will allow myself a bit of cautious optimism about the election. I believe Mitt Romney has a better than average chance of winning the number of electoral votes needed to move him into the White House. I am praying that is the case and if it wasn't so hard to type with crossed fingers, they would be crossed. Hang on for the ride. We have one more week and things are looking up for Mitt Romney.
