Thursday, September 27, 2012

Stop the Hand Wringing over Polls and THINK!!! And then Relax


by HamiltonJay

Okay everyone I am getting tired of repeating myself, so, I am going to just write this one time, and folks can keep bumping this back into the mix to REMIND people about this polling nonsense.

Here's the deal folks, if just 1 in 14 voters who selected Obama last time, don't this time, he loses the popular vote... PERIOD.

Now, I know there are polls showing Obama up 10, 20 50 points nationally and in swing states, and I am telling you, right here, right now they are ABSOLUTE CRAP!
Look, Obama won the election by 7.2% of the vote in '08, and only beat the 50% mark by 2.9%. He did this with unprecidented turn outs and support from a few keye groups.. and on the back of Bush fatique. Republican vote was supressed and McCain ran less than a stellar campaign. Obama didn't win 2008 because "he's obama' he won 2008 because he wasn't Bush!
2008 was the perfect storm for him, he won't see anything near that support this time... Please stop panicing over every poll!
THINK! People THINK!
last time Obama won Ohio by 4.6% of the vote, yet we are to believe today, where none of that perfect storm is aligned for him, he's still got that kind of lead there, or better yet TWICE THE LEADE? Come on folks, doesn't pass the smell test!
Stop living and dying by every poll number its NONSENSE, the polling (some of it anyway) is so rediculous it should be laughed at. The idea Obama is up 8 or 10 in Ohio is patently ABSURD! The idea he's up 10 in PA is just as absurd.
Look, Obama is losing this election, don't believe me? Look at what's going on? NC is off the table for him.. IA is off the table for him... NH and CO are moving off the table for him.. He's not Winning, he's losing. Nothing has fundamentally gone his way since the day Romney accepted the nomination.. NOTHING.
His foreign policy is disintegrating in front of the cameras and he's trying to blame it on a youtube video.. Come on... The economy is beyond in the toilet... etc etc et.c
Do you really think 1 in 14 people who voted for him last time won't be changing their minds? If you do, I don't htink you have walked the beat and talked to enough people.
The fundamentals of the race have not changed.. you have a failed president trying to get another 4 years.. the election is a referendum on him and he is failing it miserably. The only thing that could change this would be if Romney would blow up and I mean completely blow up, like howard dean type disintegration at the debates.. otherwise Romney wins and wins handily.
Stop It! Just stop it and think!
1 in 14.... that's it... 2008 was the high water mark for this bum, he will not and cannot remotely get the support he got then and unless folks buy into the crap polls and stay home, republicans won't be supressed like they were in 08 either.
RELAX!! GO FOR A WALK.. TALK TO FOLKS from all walks of life and you'll soon find that fare more than 1 in 14 have abandoned this chump.

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