Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Circular logic and thick verbiage can’t hide Romney’s solid lead in new Battleground poll

coachisright.com ^ | September 25, 2012 | Kevin "Coach" Collins


The message attached to a new Politico-George Washington University Battleground Poll (P-GWUBP) is a study in literary gymnastics. As hard as the authors tried to twist the data of the survey, reading it brings you to only one logical conclusion: Mitt Romney is moving toward a solid victory and probably a landslide in November.

The report starts with background information whose only purpose is to try to discourage readers from sticking with “yesterday’s news” and stop reading before they get to the devastating news for Barack Obama.

Once the actual report starts the “good” news for Obama fans is provided: Obama leads Romney by 3 points – well kind of – sort of.

P-GWUBP admits to “rounding the number up from 2.6%.” Afterward the report slips further and further into “Democrat fantasylands speak” as the contradictions begin to pile up. As you read these data points keep in mind that they “supposedly” add up to a 3 point Obama lead.
Among Middle Class families, who are 54% of the total electorate, Romney leads 55/41.
Middle Class families believe America is on the wrong track by 62/34 so the chances of these people staying home are non-existent.
“..Romney has lost no support among his Republican base getting 87% of Republican support and Obama is getting 88% of Democrat support. At this point we have to stop and consider the registration numbers released by Rasmussen.
They show registered Republicans at an all-time high of 37.6% and growing while Democrats are less than one point above their all-time low at 33.3%. Basic math says 87% of 37.6% 32.7% and 88% of 33.3% is 29.3%.

When this spread is juxtaposed with the 1.3 point spread Republicans enjoyed in 2010 the news very bad for Obama…..

(Excerpt) Read more at coachisright.com ...

http://www.unskewedpolls.com/      gives us honest numbers which are that Romney is leading by 7.8 points.

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